FIP
Tom Tango's Fielding Independent Pitching. Fielding Independent Pitching, a measure of all those things for which a pitcher is specifically responsible. The formula is (HR*13+(BB+HBP-IBB)*3-K*2)/IP, plus a league-specific factor (usually around 3.2) to round out the number to an equivalent ERA number. FIP helps you understand how well a pitcher pitched, regardless of how well his fielders fielded.
Above is the definition and the formula used to calculate FIP. FIP is a nice tool to use to idnetify possible buy low and sell high canidates. For some a inflated FIP in comparison to a low ERA could very well mean a regression could be right around the corner while a ERA higher than ones FIP could mean improved play is soon upon us.
FIP Gainers (Players to target down the stretch. These aren't neccesarily the largest gainers but more so a group of players who's current ERA is significantly higher than how effective he has pitched. For the record anyone who maintained a FIP above 4.15 was not included in this list.
* Please Note Pitchers Must have 74 IP under their belt in order to qualify for the leaderboard.
Name ERA/FIP
Ryan Dempster 5.46/4.15
Edwin Jackson 4.47/3.21
Brian Duensing 4.82/3.59
Matt Garza 4.11/2.88
Madison Bumgarner 4.06/2.90
Chad Billingsley 4.48/3.36
Chris Narveson 4.55/3.44
Chris Carpenter 4.47/3.52
Ricky Nolasco 4.48/3.55
Jeff Francis 4.76/3.90
Ubaldo Jimenez 4.68/3.84
Daniel Hudson 3.56/2.73
Jamie Garcia 3.19/2.45
Carlos Zambrano 4.50/3.85
David Price 3.51/2.87
Carlos Carrasco 3.87/3.29
Mat Latos 4.22/3.71
Derek Lowe 4.10/3.59
Clayton Kershaw 3.01/2.52
Felix Hernandez 3.34/2.89
TOP 10 FIP's in 2011
1. Roy Halladay 2.17
2. Cole Hammels 2.21
3. Jaimie Garcia 2.45
4. Jerred Weaver 2.49
5. Clayton Kershaw 2.52
6. Cliff Lee 2.58
7. Dan Haren 2.64
8. Daniel Hudson 2.73
9. Jordan Zimmerman 2.77
10. David Price 2.87
10 Worst FIP's In 2011
1. Wade Davis 5.32
2. Joe Saunders 5.09
3. Brett Myers 5.02
4. Bronson Arroyo 4.96
5. Colby Lewis 4.95
6. Fausta Carmona 4.92
7. James McDonald 4.89
8. Javier Vazquez 4.88
9. Chris Volstad 4.85
10. Luke Hochevar 4.75
* Here is a list of players with ERA's below the respectable mark of 4.00 currently but should expect a regression in the 2nd half of the season due to a FIP above the 4.10 mark. Once again min. 74 IP.
ERA/FIP
Jeff Karstens 2.54/4.14
Nick Blackburn 3.15/4.44
Jeremy Hellickson 3009/4.25
Matt Harrison 3.16/4.18
John Lannan 3.40/4.26
Kyle McClellan 3.73/4.59
Clay Buchholz 3.48/4.28
Tyler Chatwood 3.84/4.51
Jon Lester 3.70/4.26
Freddy Garcia 3.30/4.15
1 comment:
What about a pitcher who has no walks, no Ks, no HR and HBP? His FIP would be 0.0; even if he got behind in every count and gave up 40 hits?
I don't think this equation is anything more than a made up statistic used to fill TV time.
For example, why not include clean base hits?
Or why not look at a pitcher's early count (<3 pitches) ball to strike ratio? It seems like this would be a better indicator of how well a pitcher performs.
What do you think?
Non-antagonistically,
Jesse
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