Friday, January 7, 2011

Spreadology 2010



No wonder people get so depressed around the Holidays and I feel it doesn't have much to do with Christmas itself. The rollover into the new year means College Football is at it's end while the NFL begins it's playoff run. Perhaps the saddest thing of all is that people realize that the 64/60 Spreadology Department will soon shut it's doors on another season of making them money. People this is a one man business and I am sorry but I just don't have the time to invest in the NBA or ,outside of a three week period in March, the NCAA so if your hunger for degenerate gambling must be craved you are on your own. What I can do however to make this absence more tolerable and provide you with winner after winner to close out the season and hopefully add on to the substantial bank role I have created for you.

College Football

Texas A&M vs. LSU -1. A&M has been one of the better teams down the stretch this season and are playing a virtual home game in Dallas. Given that these teams have had over a month to prepare I tend to lean toward the better coach. I'll take The Hat everday over Sherman. LSU edges the Aggies in what should be a good TV watch in primetime on Friday.

Kentucky vs. Pitt -3. Anytime you have a SEC school facing a team from the Big East and getting points I like the value. When that Big East school has had two coaches since they last played the game and still yet don't have anyone in charge, I love the SEC school. UK wins outright.

Boston College vs. Nevada -9.5. Anytime a BCS school takes on the Non-AQ in a bowl game I tend to lean toward the Non-AQ because they typically seem to play with the chip on their shoulder. I look for this trend to continue once again even if the Wolfpack is the better team. Nevada in a blowout.

Oregon vs. Auburn -3. Auburn comes from the Conference that has not only won the last four National Titles but have done so in dominate fashion. Auburn not only has the best player in College Football this season but perhaps the best player in the last 30 years in Newton. Auburn also has the most dominate defensive player in the contest with DT Nick Farley. If that isn't enough to make you lean heavily toward Auburn, how about the fact that over final three or four games of the season Auburn was peaking while Oregon had regressed since the big win over Stanford. With all of this favoring Auburn than please explain to me why the Tigers are a mere 3 point favorite? The way I see it is the Ducks will need about 4-5 really big plays throughout the game to keep this contest close. With that in mind I have faith that with over a month to prepare Kelly will likely draw up plays straight out of your local elementary school sandlot, call these plays at the optimal time, resulting in the big plays that keep it close and ultimately overtaking the Tigers in the dessert.

College Recap: LSU -1, Kentucky +3, Nevada -9.5, Oregon +3

NFL Playoffs

Saints vs. Seahawks -10.5 Never has a home team been this much of a underdog during the playoffs. With that said no playoff team has ever had a record below .500. The Saints have been on a role and though Quest field is amongst the toughest places to travel the Saints have to much talent for the Seahawks to compete with. The Seahawks only hope is that Hasselback can pick apart the Saints D but given his recent health related struggles I just don't see it. Saints in a route.

Jets vs. Colts -3. The Colts are a handful of plays away from a 6-10 season and look nothing like the Colts you are used to. The Jets have been the better team without a doubt during the regular season however for the most part they haven't resembled the squad most envisioned during training camp. If the Jets are playing well they have been lead by Sanchez if they are playing poorly Sanchez is in the midst of a poor passing game. The defense which was thought to be potentially legendary is nothing more than a middle of the pack D. I expect Sanchez to play well but look for Manning to once again carve up a Rex Ryan lead defense giving the Colts a 4th Quarter push and a big playoff win.

Ravens vs. Chiefs +3. The Chiefs resurecction was one of the better stories of the season but the final chapter will be this weekend. The Ravens will stop the running game of the Chiefs thus forcing Cassel to beat them. Cassel had a All-Pro caliber season this year but he isn't good enough to pick a team the caliber of the Ravens apart. Ray Rice and the running game will continue to be productive and Flacco will make enough big plays to Boldin and Mason to coast to a easy win once again on the road.

Packers vs. Eagles -3. The best matchup on paper this weekend as Rodgers and that solid Packers D will try to take the air out of the Eagles offense. The Packers should be able to move the ball against a marginal Eagles defense so the pressure will be on the Packers D to stop perhaps the most explosive offense in the NFL. The Packers athleticisim on Defense should be able to limit Vick's big plays on the ground and Dom Capers is as good as it gets when it comes to Coordinating a defense. Look for Hawk, Woodson and Co. force a couple of turnovers giving the Packers additional possesions for Rodgers to capitalize on. Packers get a win on the road.

Recap: Saints -10.5, Colts -3, Ravens -3, Packers +3

7 comments:

jesseward said...

I'll bet you $50 Auburn covers.

Jesse

jesseward said...

Go get Cody's piggy bank.

Josh Coleman said...

Baseball Entry Fee on the line if you decide to play.

jesseward said...

How about $50 instead?

Josh Coleman said...

Baseball Entry Fee is 50 if you decide to play than your fee is paid if you do not play than I will give you 50 instead.

jesseward said...

Deal. Auburn -3.

jesseward said...

Since you didn't lose this time, I'll give you half a win.

Lucky.