Sunday, March 18, 2012

Draft Recap Vol. 5: The Best The Filling Rounds Have To Offer



Another installment that has been at the Co-Commissioners desk for quite sometime.

In the fifth installment of the Draft Recap we are looking at the 10 best selections of the filling rounds. The filling rounds are were you often choose position or need over best available player upon occasion. The filling rounds range differs depending on league size but using our 30 round 12 team format I consider rounds 16-25 as the filling rounds. The filling rounds offer you a chance to nab a potential superstar without really feeling you had to draft them to early. If you draft Freddie Freeman 4 rounds to early in the front half of the draft it is certainly noticed. In the filling rounds if you have a strong feeling about someone you waste no time in pulling the trigger. If your calculations are correct you have done your team a great service by not losing them to another player because you felt you could wait one more round. While I do not have any research to back this point up I feel strongly that the team that nails this portion of the draft will typically find their names near the top of the leaderboard year in and year out.


JBC Top 10 (For the record this may not be my Top 10 players per my projections but rather the 10 players who have the potential to greatly exceed their draft spot.)


1. Kendrys Morales- TBA Round 25. Certainly a world of questions and roster limitations make Morales at risk of significant playing time but if everything falls into place and Morales can exceed 425-450 AB's your looking at a 20-25/80/90 player with a decent AVG to boot.

2. Coco Crisp- BCFP Round 17. The A's OF is loaded and the promotion of Yoenis Cespedes could force Crisp out of a everyday spot in the lineup but then again it may not happen. If Crisp can exceed 500 AB for the season your looking at the potential AL Leader in SB and a player with the same skill set of Michael Bourn, Round 6, and Brett Gardner, Round 8.

3. Ryan Raburn- The Militia Round 25. The power is unquestioned and for the first time it appears the playing time is as well. Between 2B and LF it appears Raburn will have his named penciled into the lineup 5-6 times per week with no need to look over his shoulder. Raburn will be a AVG risk however his 25 HR potential at 2B could easily make him a Top 10 option at that position.

4. Joel Hanrahan- BCFP Round 18. Closers are easy targets to exceed draft spot in these rounds but Hanrahan has the chance to be a Top 5 option at his position. Hanrahan will certainly provide solid K totals out of the position so all that is needed is a little luck along the way and a slew of Pirate victories in close games.

5. Ryan Madson- TBA Round 16. Same script as Hanrahan just two rounds earlier and a slightly shorter rap sheet of closing success.

6. Dexter Fowler- TomEmanski's Deathsquad Round 17. I'll be the first to raise my hand when asked "Are you skeptical that Fowler will ever meet his potential?". Fowler has had glimpses during his career but has never really sustained any success for over a month. Truth be told his minor league track record is very similar. This selection is simple it's the 17th Round and Fowler possess Top 5 SB potential and bats near the top of a Rockies lineup that features a few solid hitters and plays it's home games in Coors Field. A statline of .270/10/100/60/35 isn't out of the realm of possibility and that would be good for a 5th-6th round value.

7. Gaby Sanchez- Barboursville Stars Round 16. Could be the safest selection on this board to exceed draft spot yet doesn't have the upside of those selected before him. Sanchez will likely bat 5th or 6th in the lineup and will have players such as Reyes, Ramirez, and Stanton for sure hitting in front of him. Sanchez doesn't have elite pop but should be a safe bet to hit 15-25 with a 270 AVG and a real threat to drive in 90+ Runs. While Sanchez will not give you a Top 5 round talent at seasons end a 10-11th round value is very likely.

8. Ian Stewart- BCFP Round 24. The opposite of Gaby Sanchez, Stewart may have the least middle ground of anyone on this list. Stewarts HR pop, good plate discipline could easily make him a formidable OPS play and HR threat pushing him into that shallow upper echelon of 3B options. Or his ML track record stays on it's same path and he becomes a AVG killer with a occasional HR but instead of a .230 mark over 200 AB Stewart seems like a lock to get to 400 this season. So unless Stewart becomes a Carlos Pena 30 HR threat driving in 90 his AVG is to much of a liablitly to warrant full time play.

9. Daniel Murphy- Walls Of Jericho Round 21. Not much upside in terms of production but what he does bring you is a plus AVG and roster flexibility to cope with the many minor setbacks your team will face this season. Eligible at 1B, 2B, and 3B makes Murphy a valuable asset to any team and that makes his less than flashy skill set to be very tolerable.

10. Lucas Duda- Hello Kitty Round 20. Has more upside than teamate Murphy and like Murphy he brings you mulitple position eligibility with 1B and OF. While Murphy brings you a plus AVG. Duda isn't a lock to bring you any positive gains. Many feel Duda could be a 25 HR threat this season and he will bat in the middle of the Mets lineup which is good for fantasy owners but not for Mets fans. I have Duda projected for a .271/15/51/59/2 in just over 400 AB which makes him a rosterable play in deep mixed. But Duda could easily find himself in the lineup each day pushing those AB up to over 500. Who knows perhaps the 25 HR and 90 RBI prognostiactions of some could be closer to the reality making Duda a 10th round player instead of the 20th.

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